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R | Team | League | Attack (GF) | Defence (GA) | Overall (GD) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PSG | FRA1 | 2.38 | 1.54 | 0.84 |
2 | Man. City | ENG1 | 2.05 | 1.55 | 0.50 |
3 | Bayern Munich | DEU1 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 0.45 |
4 | Barcelona | ESP1 | 2.10 | 2.07 | 0.03 |
5 | Real Madrid | ESP1 | 1.96 | 1.96 | -0.00 |
6 | Lyon | FRA1 | 1.44 | 1.60 | -0.16 |
7 | Liverpool | ENG1 | 1.59 | 1.76 | -0.17 |
8 | RB Leipzig | DEU1 | 1.60 | 1.81 | -0.21 |
9 | Atlético Madrid | ESP1 | 1.54 | 1.76 | -0.22 |
10 | Chelsea | ENG1 | 1.55 | 1.82 | -0.28 |
11 | Atalanta | ITA1 | 1.62 | 1.92 | -0.30 |
12 | Inter Milan | ITA1 | 1.55 | 1.87 | -0.32 |
13 | Juventus | ITA1 | 1.46 | 1.84 | -0.38 |
14 | Dortmund | DEU1 | 1.47 | 1.93 | -0.45 |
15 | Napoli | ITA1 | 1.37 | 1.83 | -0.46 |
16 | Sevilla | ESP1 | 1.58 | 2.06 | -0.48 |
17 | Lille | FRA1 | 1.33 | 1.82 | -0.50 |
18 | Man. United | ENG1 | 1.41 | 1.90 | -0.50 |
19 | Rennes | FRA1 | 1.20 | 1.82 | -0.62 |
20 | Marseille | FRA1 | 1.29 | 1.93 | -0.64 |
21 | Gladbach | DEU1 | 1.53 | 2.20 | -0.67 |
22 | Wolves | ENG1 | 1.11 | 1.79 | -0.68 |
23 | Monaco | FRA1 | 1.45 | 2.20 | -0.75 |
24 | Montpellier | FRA1 | 1.10 | 1.85 | -0.75 |
25 | Milan | ITA1 | 1.36 | 2.12 | -0.76 |
26 | Roma | ITA1 | 1.58 | 2.36 | -0.77 |
27 | Angers | FRA1 | 0.99 | 1.77 | -0.78 |
28 | Leverkusen | DEU1 | 1.44 | 2.22 | -0.79 |
29 | Reims | FRA1 | 0.94 | 1.73 | -0.79 |
30 | Nantes | FRA1 | 1.00 | 1.80 | -0.80 |
31 | Wolfsburg | DEU1 | 1.23 | 2.11 | -0.88 |
32 | Real Sociedad | ESP1 | 1.34 | 2.23 | -0.89 |
33 | Villarreal | ESP1 | 1.71 | 2.63 | -0.91 |
34 | Leicester | ENG1 | 1.24 | 2.16 | -0.93 |
35 | Bordeaux | FRA1 | 1.02 | 2.01 | -0.99 |
36 | Eintracht | DEU1 | 1.35 | 2.36 | -1.01 |
37 | Hoffenheim | DEU1 | 1.53 | 2.55 | -1.02 |
38 | Getafe | ESP1 | 1.26 | 2.30 | -1.04 |
39 | Granada | ESP1 | 1.17 | 2.22 | -1.05 |
40 | St Étienne | FRA1 | 1.15 | 2.20 | -1.05 |
41 | Strasbourg | FRA1 | 1.11 | 2.17 | -1.06 |
42 | Leganés | ESP1 | 1.09 | 2.16 | -1.07 |
43 | Lazio | ITA1 | 1.34 | 2.44 | -1.10 |
44 | Fiorentina | ITA1 | 1.12 | 2.26 | -1.14 |
45 | Everton | ENG1 | 1.12 | 2.26 | -1.14 |
46 | Tottenham | ENG1 | 1.16 | 2.31 | -1.16 |
47 | Nice | FRA1 | 1.15 | 2.32 | -1.17 |
48 | Osasuna | ESP1 | 1.23 | 2.44 | -1.21 |
49 | Amiens | FRA1 | 0.84 | 2.07 | -1.23 |
50 | Nîmes | FRA1 | 1.09 | 2.36 | -1.27 |
51 | Metz | FRA1 | 0.88 | 2.17 | -1.29 |
52 | Eibar | ESP1 | 1.30 | 2.62 | -1.32 |
53 | Southampton | ENG1 | 1.18 | 2.51 | -1.33 |
54 | Celta Vigo | ESP1 | 1.20 | 2.54 | -1.34 |
55 | Arsenal | ENG1 | 1.22 | 2.59 | -1.37 |
56 | Valencia | ESP1 | 1.35 | 2.73 | -1.38 |
57 | Real Betis | ESP1 | 1.37 | 2.77 | -1.41 |
58 | 1. FC Köln | DEU1 | 1.25 | 2.66 | -1.42 |
59 | Athletic Bilbao | ESP1 | 1.24 | 2.66 | -1.43 |
60 | Sheffield Utd | ENG1 | 0.97 | 2.41 | -1.44 |
61 | Udinese | ITA1 | 0.95 | 2.41 | -1.46 |
62 | Hertha BSC | DEU1 | 1.08 | 2.54 | -1.46 |
63 | Union Berlin | DEU1 | 0.95 | 2.43 | -1.48 |
64 | Bologna | ITA1 | 1.07 | 2.56 | -1.48 |
65 | Werder Bremen | DEU1 | 0.95 | 2.45 | -1.50 |
66 | Dijon | FRA1 | 0.87 | 2.38 | -1.51 |
67 | Toulouse | FRA1 | 1.03 | 2.55 | -1.52 |
68 | Schalke 04 | DEU1 | 0.90 | 2.43 | -1.53 |
69 | Brest | FRA1 | 1.01 | 2.56 | -1.55 |
70 | Burnley | ENG1 | 1.02 | 2.57 | -1.56 |
71 | Espanyol | ESP1 | 1.14 | 2.70 | -1.56 |
72 | Sampdoria | ITA1 | 1.09 | 2.68 | -1.59 |
73 | Genoa | ITA1 | 1.02 | 2.61 | -1.59 |
74 | Mainz | DEU1 | 1.10 | 2.70 | -1.60 |
75 | Crystal Palace | ENG1 | 0.88 | 2.49 | -1.62 |
76 | Valladolid | ESP1 | 1.09 | 2.74 | -1.65 |
77 | FC Augsburg | DEU1 | 1.00 | 2.66 | -1.67 |
78 | Verona | ITA1 | 0.98 | 2.65 | -1.67 |
79 | Watford | ENG1 | 1.06 | 2.74 | -1.67 |
80 | SC Freiburg | DEU1 | 1.04 | 2.74 | -1.71 |
81 | Torino | ITA1 | 0.97 | 2.69 | -1.72 |
82 | Brighton | ENG1 | 0.94 | 2.69 | -1.75 |
83 | Bournemouth | ENG1 | 1.06 | 2.86 | -1.80 |
84 | Alavés | ESP1 | 1.09 | 2.89 | -1.81 |
85 | Sassuolo | ITA1 | 1.13 | 2.96 | -1.83 |
86 | West Ham | ENG1 | 1.08 | 2.93 | -1.85 |
87 | Mallorca | ESP1 | 1.11 | 3.01 | -1.89 |
88 | Fortuna | DEU1 | 0.92 | 2.82 | -1.90 |
89 | Newcastle | ENG1 | 0.88 | 2.81 | -1.93 |
90 | Cagliari | ITA1 | 0.88 | 2.81 | -1.94 |
91 | Levante | ESP1 | 1.42 | 3.38 | -1.96 |
92 | Aston Villa | ENG1 | 0.98 | 2.95 | -1.97 |
93 | Parma | ITA1 | 0.98 | 3.00 | -2.02 |
94 | SC Paderborn | DEU1 | 1.06 | 3.11 | -2.05 |
95 | SPAL | ITA1 | 0.83 | 3.09 | -2.26 |
96 | Norwich | ENG1 | 0.92 | 3.22 | -2.31 |
97 | Brescia | ITA1 | 0.94 | 3.58 | -2.64 |
98 | Lecce | ITA1 | 1.20 | 4.05 | -2.85 |
Goals For (GF), Goals Against (GA) and Goal Difference (GD) refer to the expected result against a hypothetical average Champions League team |
A xG-Poisson-GLM model is fit on Champions League and Europa League games using the methodology described here.
Teams from each country that have played in the Champions League / Europa League will have team strength estimates based on local league models as well as team strength estimates from the Champions League / Europa League model. These are used to calibrate the team strengths from each country to a CL/Europa league level.
Note that the relative rank of teams can differ between the Euro rank and league rank since the relative impact and importance of defence vs attack varies in local league vs a European scope.
© 2020 - Dinesh Vatvani | FootballGeek