Thank you for your patience and understanding.
Home Goals
1.1
Home win
24%
Draw
24%
Away win
51%
Away Goals
1.7
The observed final result is not always an accurate reflection how well teams played, since chance can play a significant role in determining the observed final score. A shot-xG-based assessment of the match yields a more accurate measure of how well teams played. This is achieved by simulating the outcome of all shots observed in the match, each with a likelihood of conversion (shot xG) that takes into account shot location, shot type (header, etc.) and shot context (e.g. penalty, free kick, shot from a corner kick, shot from a cross, etc.). The values below represent the range of outcomes that could have been observed based on quality and number of shots taken by each team.
Home Goals
0.7
Home win
34%
Draw
40%
Away win
27%
Away Goals
0.6
Home xG | Away xG | |
---|---|---|
Pre-match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
Observed-shots-based | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Diff | -0.4 | -1.0 |
Home win | Draw | Away win | |
---|---|---|---|
Pre-match | 24% | 24% | 51% |
Observed-shots-based | 34% | 40% | 27% |
Diff | 9% | 15% | -24% |
Home | Away | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Performance Index | Luck Index | Performance Index | Luck Index | ||
Attack | 41 | 23 | 25 | 70 | |
Defence | 75 | 30 | 59 | 77 | |
Overall | 63 | 16 | 37 | 84 |
© 2020 - Dinesh Vatvani | FootballGeek