Thank you for your patience and understanding.
Home Goals
1.5
Home win
39%
Draw
24%
Away win
37%
Away Goals
1.5
The observed final result is not always an accurate reflection how well teams played, since chance can play a significant role in determining the observed final score. A shot-xG-based assessment of the match yields a more accurate measure of how well teams played. This is achieved by simulating the outcome of all shots observed in the match, each with a likelihood of conversion (shot xG) that takes into account shot location, shot type (header, etc.) and shot context (e.g. penalty, free kick, shot from a corner kick, shot from a cross, etc.). The values below represent the range of outcomes that could have been observed based on quality and number of shots taken by each team.
Home Goals
0.6
Home win
26%
Draw
41%
Away win
34%
Away Goals
0.7
Home xG | Away xG | |
---|---|---|
Pre-match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Observed-shots-based | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Diff | -1.0 | -0.8 |
Home win | Draw | Away win | |
---|---|---|---|
Pre-match | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Observed-shots-based | 26% | 41% | 34% |
Diff | -13% | 17% | -4% |
Home | Away | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Performance Index | Luck Index | Performance Index | Luck Index | ||
Attack | 26 | 27 | 30 | 24 | |
Defence | 70 | 76 | 74 | 73 | |
Overall | 47 | 54 | 53 | 46 |
© 2020 - Dinesh Vatvani | FootballGeek