Getafe


1 : 0

Real Betis


Pre-match forecast

Home Goals

1.5

Home win

51%

Draw

26%

Away win

24%

Away Goals

1.0

Post-match analysis

The observed final result is not always an accurate reflection how well teams played, since chance can play a significant role in determining the observed final score. A shot-xG-based assessment of the match yields a more accurate measure of how well teams played. This is achieved by simulating the outcome of all shots observed in the match, each with a likelihood of conversion (shot xG) that takes into account shot location, shot type (header, etc.) and shot context (e.g. penalty, free kick, shot from a corner kick, shot from a cross, etc.). The values below represent the range of outcomes that could have been observed based on quality and number of shots taken by each team.

Home Goals

1.3

Home win

35%

Draw

34%

Away win

31%

Away Goals

1.2

Performance review

Home xG Away xG
Pre-match 1.5 1.0
Observed-shots-based 1.3 1.2
Diff -0.3 0.3

Home win Draw Away win
Pre-match 51% 26% 24%
Observed-shots-based 35% 34% 31%
Diff -16% 8% 8%

Home Away
Performance Index Luck Index Performance Index Luck Index
Attack 45 40 59 10
Defence 41 90 55 60
Overall 40 78 60 22


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