Thank you for your patience and understanding.
Home Goals
2.0
Home win
61%
Draw
21%
Away win
18%
Away Goals
1.0
The observed final result is not always an accurate reflection how well teams played, since chance can play a significant role in determining the observed final score. A shot-xG-based assessment of the match yields a more accurate measure of how well teams played. This is achieved by simulating the outcome of all shots observed in the match, each with a likelihood of conversion (shot xG) that takes into account shot location, shot type (header, etc.) and shot context (e.g. penalty, free kick, shot from a corner kick, shot from a cross, etc.). The values below represent the range of outcomes that could have been observed based on quality and number of shots taken by each team.
Home Goals
2.4
Home win
75%
Draw
16%
Away win
9%
Away Goals
0.9
Home xG | Away xG | |
---|---|---|
Pre-match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Observed-shots-based | 2.4 | 0.9 |
Diff | 0.4 | -0.0 |
Home win | Draw | Away win | |
---|---|---|---|
Pre-match | 61% | 21% | 18% |
Observed-shots-based | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Diff | 14% | -5% | -9% |
Home | Away | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Performance Index | Luck Index | Performance Index | Luck Index | ||
Attack | 60 | 88 | 50 | 18 | |
Defence | 50 | 82 | 40 | 12 | |
Overall | 59 | 94 | 41 | 6 |
© 2020 - Dinesh Vatvani | FootballGeek