Osasuna


0 : 0

Eibar


Pre-match forecast

Home Goals

1.1

Home win

37%

Draw

29%

Away win

34%

Away Goals

1.1

Post-match analysis

The observed final result is not always an accurate reflection how well teams played, since chance can play a significant role in determining the observed final score. A shot-xG-based assessment of the match yields a more accurate measure of how well teams played. This is achieved by simulating the outcome of all shots observed in the match, each with a likelihood of conversion (shot xG) that takes into account shot location, shot type (header, etc.) and shot context (e.g. penalty, free kick, shot from a corner kick, shot from a cross, etc.). The values below represent the range of outcomes that could have been observed based on quality and number of shots taken by each team.

Home Goals

0.5

Home win

15%

Draw

33%

Away win

52%

Away Goals

1.1

Performance review

Home xG Away xG
Pre-match 1.1 1.1
Observed-shots-based 0.5 1.1
Diff -0.6 0.1

Home win Draw Away win
Pre-match 37% 29% 34%
Observed-shots-based 15% 33% 52%
Diff -22% 3% 18%

Home Away
Performance Index Luck Index Performance Index Luck Index
Attack 33 29 52 15
Defence 48 85 67 71
Overall 36 68 64 32


© 2020 - Dinesh Vatvani | FootballGeek